OrbitalHub

Where curiosity reaches escape velocity.

Domain is for sale. $50,000,000.00 USD. Direct any inquiries to contact@orbitalhub.com.

September 14, 2026

Three solid stages and a 3D-printed engine

Posted by

 

Vikram-1 on the First Launch Pad at SDSC-SHAR before Mission Aagaman. Credit: IANS / Skyroot Aerospace via ETV Bharat.

 

On July 18, 2026, at 06:35 UTC, a 22-meter rocket lifted off from the First Launch Pad at the Satish Dhawan Space Centre on Sriharikota island. Twelve minutes later, four payloads were floating in a 450-kilometer orbit at a 60-degree inclination, marking the first time an Indian private company had reached orbit under its own name. The rocket was built by Hyderabad-based Skyroot Aerospace, and the mission was named Aagaman, Sanskrit for “arrival.” It gave India a third-country credential — only the United States and China have carried one since 2008.

For two decades, India’s orbital launches have carried the same institutional stamp: the Indian Space Research Organisation, ISRO. PSLV, GSLV, and the upcoming GSLV Mk III have flown from the same two pads at Sriharikota since 1993. When the government created the Indian National Space Promotion and Authorisation Centre, IN-SPACe, in June 2020, the explicit goal was to break that monopoly. Funding followed: India’s private space sector pulled in roughly $353 million from 2020 through 2024, with another $150 million in fiscal 2025, and the startup count climbed from a handful to more than 200 (Financial Express, 2026).

What was still missing was a proof of orbit. Suborbital hops like Vikram-S in November 2022 showed that a private firm could build a rocket and reach space. They did not show that one could deliver a payload to a precise altitude and inclination. Vikram-1 closes that gap. With Mission Aagaman complete, Skyroot joined SpaceX and Rocket Lab in the United States and LandSpace’s Zhuque-2 in China as the only commercial operators to have reached orbit with a privately developed first stage (Reuters, July 18 2026).

The market is large enough to make the milestone more than symbolic. India already runs one of the more aggressive small-satellite launch programs in Asia, and Chandana told CNBC that 70 to 80 percent of Skyroot’s eventual customers will sit outside India, across the United States, Europe, and Southeast Asia. A dedicated small-sat ride at roughly $15,000 per kilogram or less could undercut dedicated Electron and Taurus-Mini flights for payloads under 350 kilograms.

The two founders met at ISRO. Pawan Kumar Chandana had spent six years on Indian launch vehicle programs, mostly at the Vikram Sarabhai Space Centre (VSSC). Naga Bharath Daka had designed avionics modules for flight computers. Both studied at IIT Kharagpur. They left ISRO in 2018, raised about $1.35 million from Myntra founder Mukesh Bansal and CureFit co-founder Ankit Nagori, and registered Skyroot Aerospace on June 12, 2018, two years before any private launch regulation existed.

IN-SPACe arrived in 2020, after Skyroot had already begun carbon-fiber airframe tooling. By 2022 the company launched Vikram-S on Mission Prarambh, a suborbital flight that reached about 89 kilometers and validated roughly 80 percent of the technology stack: the all-carbon composite airframe, the solid propulsion, the thermal protection, and the avionics.

Vikram-1 took another three and a half years. The three solid stages (Kalam-1200, Kalam-250, and Kalam-100, named for missile scientist A. P. J. Abdul Kalam) each had to be static-fired at ISRO’s STEX/VAST complex at Sriharikota. The liquid Orbital Adjustment Module with its Raman engine was hot-tested at the ISRO Propulsion Complex at Mahendragiri under IN-SPACe oversight. Skyroot’s first 100 percent 3D-printed bipropellant injector ran successfully in 2020; a Raman-II hot fire at Mahendragiri ran 10 seconds in July 2023 at a chamber pressure of 8.5 bar.

The launch attempt slipped from 2024 into a 23-day window opening July 12, 2026. Chandana told CNBC-TV18 that “we have done everything that could be done to test Vikram-1 on ground.” On July 18 an automated hold extended the countdown while engineers rechecked navigation parameters; lift-off came at 12:05 PM IST, roughly 35 minutes behind the original schedule. Payload separation finished by T+900 seconds, and Skyroot declared mission success. At least one more developmental flight sits between Aagaman and any commercial manifest.

Vikram-1 is a four-stage rocket, 22 meters tall and 1.7 meters in diameter, the first orbital launcher in India built entirely from carbon-fiber-reinforced polymer (CFRP). The material choice matters because CFRP motor cases weigh roughly 30 to 50 percent less than equivalent steel or aluminum cases at the same burst pressure (Nature 2021, CFRP motor-case studies). For a small launcher, that drop translates directly into payload fraction: every kilogram saved in dry mass leaves room for a kilogram of propellant, and propellant is cheaper to deliver to orbit than structure.

The three solid motors run a typical Indian composite propellant: about 68 percent ammonium perchlorate oxidizer, 18 percent aluminum powder, and 14 percent hydroxyl-terminated polybutadiene (HTPB) binder. The first-stage casing, the Kalam-1200, is the longest monolithic composite motor built at ISRO’s Solid Propellant Space Booster Plant, 11 meters long and 1.7 meters in diameter, loaded with about 30 tonnes of propellant. The case is filament-wound at angles of roughly ±55 and ±20 degrees over the cylinder, transitioning to ±45 and 80 degrees at the domes, an arrangement tuned to balance hoop stress, axial load, and torsional stiffness. Inside the case, an EPDM rubber insulator protects the carbon fiber from 3,000-Kelvin combustion gas. Thrust vector control on the upper solid stages uses a carbon-ablative flex nozzle deflecting the throat a few degrees with hydraulic actuators.

The fourth stage, the Orbital Adjustment Module, is a cluster of four Raman engines burning monomethylhydrazine against nitrogen tetroxide (MMH/NTO), the classic hypergolic storable bipropellant. Hypergolic ignition fires the moment the two liquids touch: no spark, no igniter, no start sequence to fail. That property lets the module relight multiple times during a single mission, which is the whole selling point for rideshare flights where each payload owner wants a slightly different altitude.

The Raman engine uses 100 percent 3D-printed injector and chamber hardware. According to Skyroot, additive manufacturing cuts injector mass by roughly 50 percent and trims part count and lead time by roughly 80 percent compared with machined injector plates. A single laser powder-bed-fusion build produces the injector in one piece, eliminating several hundred discrete passages and brazed joints. That kind of simplification makes a small team viable against larger state programs.

For the sizing math: with a 1,200-kilonewton first stage, a specific impulse near 270 seconds at sea level, and a structural mass fraction in the 0.10 to 0.12 range, the ideal delta-v budget for a 450-kilometer circular orbit at 60-degree inclination comes to about 9.4 kilometers per second. The four stages roughly hit that, leaving a margin near 1.2 kilometers per second for gravity and drag losses, in line with industry norms for small launchers.

The full Vikram family still has to come online: Vikram-2 with its 3D-printed Dhawan cryogenic engine in 2027, then Vikram-3. The team is now 500 engineers, working from a 60,000-square-foot “Max-Q” campus in Hyderabad that the company describes as the largest private rocket development facility in South Asia. Investment caught up in May 2026, when Skyroot became India’s first space-tech unicorn at a $1.1 billion valuation after a $60 million round that included GIC, BlackRock, Sherpalo Ventures, and Playbook Partners.

The wider lesson is structural. India did not get a private space industry by accident; it got one by writing rules, opening access to shared test stands, and waiting long enough for the engineering to mature. The flight on July 18 was a scheduled checkpoint on a plan that started in 2020, not a surprise ending. Other countries will study whether that same sequence (regulator first, infrastructure second, orbital capability third) can run faster in their own markets. That question will probably matter more than Vikram-1 itself.

 

 

ISRO's EOS-05 (GISAT-1A) hyperspectral Earth observation satellite parked at geostationary altitude 36,000 km above the equator, its 700 mm Ritchey-Chrétien telescope pointed nadir at the Indian subcontinent below — visualized as a false-color hyperspectral data cube across VNIR and SWIR bands.

 

At 02:55 Indian Standard Time on 4 September 2026, the seventeenth operational Geosynchronous Satellite Launch Vehicle — GSLV-F17 — cleared the second launch pad at Sriharikota with a 2,368-kilogram payload, lit its indigenous cryogenic upper stage, and pushed India’s heaviest geostationary passenger into a sub-geosynchronous transfer orbit eighteen minutes later (ISRO mission brochure, August 2026; Wikipedia EOS-05). What makes that routine sentence matter is what the payload is. EOS-05, also known as GISAT-1A, is the first hyperspectral Earth-observing imager ever stationed at geostationary altitude. From roughly 36,000 km above the equator it can sweep the entire Indian landmass every thirty minutes at 42 m resolution and revisit a selected field every five minutes — a cadence no low-Earth-orbit constellation can match for fast-moving hazards.

What changes because of this is the temporal resolution of what India can see. Until now, the country’s civilian Earth-observation stack lived mostly at 600 to 800 km on the IRS series and on a small number of dedicated weather satellites. EOS-05 folds two things into one geostationary platform: near-real-time imaging, and the hyperspectral imaging no civilian operator has flown from GEO before. The combination has no current peer. From 35,786 km, 414 spectral channels are now listening to the subcontinent across visible, near-infrared and short-wave infrared bands, watching floods, fires, crop stress and industrial plumes as they happen rather than as a satellite passes overhead.

The history behind the launch matters. The first GISAT was meant to do exactly this. On 12 August 2021, GSLV-F10 lifted off from the same Sriharikota pad with the 2,268 kg GISAT-1 and its cryogenic upper stage failed to ignite; the satellite burned up over the Bay of Bengal (The Wire, August 2021). ISRO rebuilt the cryogenic engine programme, re-qualified the Cryogenic Upper Stage, and quietly prepared a near-twin spacecraft with refinements drawn from five years of post-failure analysis. EOS-05 carries the same 700 mm Ritchey–Chrétien telescope and I-2K bus as the lost satellite, with upgraded detector thermal control and a more capable onboard formatter. When the same rocket class that failed in 2021 succeeded on 4 September 2026, it completed a five-year recovery that almost no one outside India’s space programme was watching.

What the rocket did after lift-off tells the harder part of the engineering story. GSLV-F17 did not drop EOS-05 at geostationary altitude. It dropped it into a low sub-GTO at around 171 km, a parking orbit deliberately chosen to keep the cryogenic upper stage’s burn time short (Wikipedia EOS-05). From there, the spacecraft used its own apogee motor in three burns over 5, 6 and 7 September to climb to its operational 35,786 km × ~35,786 km geostationary orbit. The two longest burns on 5 and 6 September totalled roughly 5,406 seconds — ninety minutes of cumulative thrust — raising apogee from 20,000 to 31,129 km and then to 35,786 km in stages. This is the standard GEO playbook, but EOS-05 is the heaviest payload GSLV has ever pushed through it.

The optical design is what makes the instrument special. A 700 mm Ritchey–Chrétien primary is small by ground-astronomy standards — Hubble’s mirror is 2.4 m — but it is the largest aperture ISRO has ever flown for Earth observation. From 36,000 km, diffraction-limited resolution scales linearly with aperture and inversely with wavelength, so the trade-off comes down to where you point your photons. EOS-05 splits the available light three ways. The multispectral Visible and Near-Infrared (MX-VNIR) channel uses six broad bands from 0.45 to 0.875 μm and lands at 42 m ground sample distance — the finest spatial resolution any imaging payload has ever delivered from geostationary orbit. The hyperspectral VNIR (HyS-VNIR) channel splits the same window into 158 narrow slices from 0.375 to 1.0 μm at 318 m. The hyperspectral Short-Wave Infrared (HyS-SWIR) channel runs from 0.9 to 2.5 μm across 256 bands at 191 m. Adding 158 and 256 gives 414 hyperspectral channels; with the six multispectral bands stacked on top, the total detector count exceeds 420.

The reason that matters is spectroscopy. A multispectral imager sees colour; a hyperspectral imager sees chemistry. Mineral dust has a different spectral signature than volcanic ash; healthy vegetation has a sharp red-edge near 0.7 μm; a chlorinated industrial plume absorbs differently than a hydrocarbon one. From low Earth orbit, agencies have done this for decades — NASA’s Hyperion on EO-1, ESA’s EnMAP, the Italian Space Agency’s PRISMA hypersatellite — but those satellites revisit a given point every few days at best. EOS-05 is the first time the world has had that chemical sensitivity continuously, watching one continent, refreshed every thirty minutes. A cyclone making landfall on the Odisha coast, a methane plume from a gas flare in Assam, a crop pest outbreak spreading through Punjab — all become things that can be detected within a single orbit of the satellite above.

The engineering trade-offs behind those numbers come down to two constraints. First, photon budget: a 700 mm mirror at 36,000 km gathers roughly the same per-unit-area flux as a small ground telescope, and the satellite stares at any given scene for tens of seconds rather than the milliseconds a LEO sensor collects per pass. The HyS-SWIR bands pay for that penalty with coarser spatial resolution (191 m instead of 42 m) and wider spectral slices. Second, thermal stability: a hyperspectral detector must hold its wavelength calibration to a fraction of a band over hours of stare time, so EOS-05 carries a closed-cycle cooler that pins the SWIR focal plane near 150 K. Without it, the 256 SWIR channels would smear into noise within minutes of eclipse exit.

What this changes is the cadence of Indian disaster response and agricultural monitoring. The Indian National Disaster Management Authority, the Indian Agricultural Research Council, and state forest departments will receive a continuous stream of 42 m imagery refreshed every thirty minutes over the entire country — a temporal density no civilian operator on Earth could match from GEO before this year. The same data feeds weather models through cloud-motion winds and aerosol optical depth retrievals that no other geostationary weather satellite can currently produce, because none of them carry hyperspectral imagers. The six-band MX-VNIR will provide what the older INSAT-3DR can only approximate in coarse thermal IR; the 414 hyperspectral channels will provide what the LEO hyperspectral fleet cannot — continuity.

Two other satellites are still on ISRO’s drawing board for the GISAT series — GISAT-2 and a planned third. For the next few years, EOS-05 will sit alone at 36,000 km, pointing its 700 mm mirror at one subcontinent, and rewriting what Earth observation means when you can watch a country breathe.

 

 

Cross-section of the Martian interior beneath the InSight lander: rust-red regolith above a 24-kilometer-thick basaltic upper crust, a sharp chemical discontinuity shown as a glowing orange line, and an olive-grey ultramafic lower crust descending into the mantle — all under one unbroken stagnant-lid shell.

 

A seismometer about the size of a basketball, planted on the Martian surface in late 2018, has just handed Earth-bound geophysicists a result that overturns a thirty-year assumption about how rocky planets assemble their crust. Nested inside the tremor record from NASA’s Interior Exploration using Seismic Investigations, Geodesy and Heat Transport (InSight) lander, a team at the University of Oxford has identified a chemical boundary roughly 24 kilometers below the Martian surface that looks suspiciously like the differentiated roots beneath Earth’s volcanic arcs. The implication, published this summer in Nature Astronomy, is that Mars once ran something close to Earth’s transcrustal magmatic systems — without any of the moving plates that geologists have long treated as a prerequisite for that level of crustal complexity (Mackay-Champion et al., Nature Astronomy, 2026).

Why this matters goes well beyond a footnote about Martian geology. If a planet with a single, unbroken lithospheric shell can still drive large, long-lived systems of melt accumulation, crystal settling, and chemical differentiation across its crust, then the basic recipe for building “evolved” crust does not require plate tectonics at all. That has direct consequences for how researchers rank the habitability of rocky exoplanets around other stars: a planet need not have a subdivided, mobile lid to keep its interior hot, recycle volatiles into the crust, and supply surface chemistry for billions of years of geologic time (University of Oxford press release, 24 June 2026).

The story that produced the result starts with InSight’s touchdown in Elysium Planitia on 26 November 2018. The lander deployed SEIS — a three-axis broadband seismometer built by CNES with contributions from IPGP and the Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research, weighing roughly 30 kilograms including its wind and thermal shield — directly onto the regolith using a small robotic arm. For the next four Earth years, until dust on the solar panels throttled power generation and ended nominal operations in late 2022, the instrument listened for marsquakes and the rumble of distant meteoroid impacts, gradually assembling a seismic catalog that geophysicists are still mining (Banerdt et al., Nature Geoscience, 2020). By mission end SEIS had recorded more than 1,300 candidate events distributed across the planet, the bulk of which were the high-frequency surface waves generated when mid-sized space rocks punched through the thin Martian atmosphere and detonated at the surface. What the new study does is take that catalog back to a question that has hung over Mars geophysics since the Viking era: what does the boundary detected by earlier receiver-function analyses, sitting somewhere between 20 and 30 kilometers depth, actually represent? Older interpretations ranged from a layer of frozen groundwater to a contact between volcanic flows and older basement rock. The Oxford group, led by Tobermory Mackay-Champion (now at the University of Bristol) with co-authors Mike Kendall and Jon Wade, reframed the question. They asked whether the discontinuity could be matched by a change in bulk rock chemistry rather than by an abrupt change in porosity or fluid content — and they did it by treating the receiver functions as a chemical assay rather than a structural one.

To answer that, the team assembled hundreds of plausible mineral assemblages — basaltic, andesitic, ultramafic, and exotic carbonatitic end-members — and ran each through thermodynamic equilibrium calculations at Martian crustal pressures and temperatures to determine stable mineralogy. They then predicted the seismic velocities those mineralogies should produce, using the standard relation V_p = sqrt((K + 4*mu/3)/rho) for compressional-wave speed, where K is the bulk modulus, mu the shear modulus, and rho the rock density, and the analogous V_s = sqrt(mu/rho) for shear. Because each mineral has a different temperature- and pressure-dependent stiffness, two compositionally distinct layers can have measurably different Vp/Vs ratios even at the same average density — and that is the lever the new study is pulling. Comparing those predictions with the actual P- and S-wave travel times picked out of marsquake and impact waveforms, the team found that the signal was systematic rather than scattered. The match that best explained the velocities above and below the boundary amounted, in plain terms, to a chemical sandwich. Below roughly 24 km, the seismic properties fit ultramafic assemblages dominated by olivine and low-calcium pyroxene — rocks high in iron and magnesium, low in silica, with densities around 3,200 to 3,300 kilograms per cubic meter. Above the boundary, the velocities matched basalt-like mafic compositions: higher silica, plagioclase-rich, with densities closer to 2,900 kilograms per cubic meter. The transition is on the order of a five to ten percent jump in Vp and a sharper change in Vp/Vs — the exact fingerprint you would expect if a deep cumulate pile sat beneath a more differentiated upper crust (Phys.org coverage of Mackay-Champion et al., 2026).

The way Earth geologists read that pattern is by analogy with what happens beneath active volcanic arcs on our own planet. A magmatic system that persists across the whole thickness of the crust tends to leave a chemical stratigraphy behind in its cooled roots. Dense, primitive cumulates settle out at depth; buoyant, silica-enriched differentiates rise through buoyancy-driven flow. What you end up with is a basalt-rich upper crust sitting on top of an ultramafic residue — exactly the layering the InSight data imply at the Martian mid-crustal discontinuity, except that on Earth the pattern is usually sustained for tens of millions of years by the steady down-going flux of subducting oceanic slabs. On Mars there is nothing sliding under anything.

The constraint that gives the result its bite is horizontal scale. The receiver functions that defined the 24 km boundary stacked across multiple marsquakes recorded at the same lander over several years, with the same converted-phase polarity and amplitude showing up across the catalog, which means the boundary must be laterally continuous over hundreds, possibly thousands, of kilometers across the northern lowlands (Khan et al., JGR Planets, 2023). Combined with the velocity match, the most parsimonious reading is a transcrustal magmatic system of the kind Earth hosts beneath the Andes or the Cascades — but operating within a stagnant lid, where heat is lost by conduction through the lithosphere rather than by advection in subduction zones.

What this changes looking forward is partly about Mars and partly about every rocky world sitting in the temperate zones around other stars. The classical assumption that habitability requires plate tectonics to recycle carbon, water, and other volatiles through a long-lived surface-interior cycle is no longer looking ironclad. A planet can plausibly keep its crust chemically active for billions of years through a different engine — one driven by mantle plumes, heat-pipe volcanism, or stagnant-lid overturn — that does not depend on a moving lid. The next two decades of exoplanet science — the era of the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope coronagraph, JWST atmospheric spectra of rocky habitable-zone targets, and eventually thirty-meter-class ground-based reconnaissance that may pick up volcanic outgassing signatures directly — will inherit a rubric where internal dynamics are an axis of habitability, but not the same axis as Earth’s. The next Mars geophysics flagship, be it a network mission like the proposed FSSM/Seismic Mars or a geodetic successor to InSight, will be designed to ask a follow-on question that the single-station SEIS catalog could not: how many such layers are there, and did the chemistry of the upper crust keep evolving through the Hesperian and into the Amazonian, or did the transcrustal engine shut down a billion years ago? Mars, in this reading, looks less like a frozen failed Earth and more like a different successful one — a planet that ran a long-lived chemical factory without ever needing to crack its lid.

 

 

NASA-IBM Lunar Foundation Model blue-outlined crater detections overlaid on a Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter mosaic near Einstein crater, illustrating the model's ability to survey impact features at meter scale.

 

In 2009, the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter finished its commissioning burns and started taking the highest-resolution pictures of the Moon anyone had ever made. Seventeen years later, on 10 September 2026, IBM and NASA published a free neural network that reads those pictures better than anything before it. The NASA-IBM Lunar Foundation Model, released under Apache 2.0 on Hugging Face, identifies lunar ice with 22 percent less error than the strongest dedicated algorithm, maps craters 19 percent more accurately at coarse resolution using half the labelled data, and traces volcanic deposits about 3 percent more cleanly with less fine-tuning (NASA Science and IBM Research, 10 September 2026). For the first time, planetary science has a single foundation model built specifically for Earth’s oldest companion.

The work matters because the next humans on the Moon are scheduled to land somewhere most maps refuse to draw. The Artemis program targets the lunar south pole, a region ringed by permanently shadowed regions — craters so deep that the Sun never rises more than a few degrees above their rims. Floor temperatures there bottom out near 40 kelvin, cold enough that water molecules arriving on the solar wind or from cometary impacts can survive for billions of years instead of sublimating away (Vasavada et al., Icarus, 1999). NASA estimates that the lunar north pole alone may hold roughly 600 million metric tons of water ice, enough to fill at least 240,000 Olympic swimming pools; the south pole is expected to hold comparable reserves (IBM Research, 10 September 2026). Ice is propellant, drinking water, and oxygen in waiting. Every kilogram of hydrogen and oxygen a crew can mine on the surface is a kilogram a Falcon Heavy does not have to lift off Earth. The economic case for Artemis depends on how cleanly geologists can rank those PSRs before a lander commits to one.

What the new model solves is a different problem that has quietly paralyzed the field: data fragmentation. LRO has produced more raw imaging data than every other NASA planetary mission combined (NASA Science, 10 September 2026). Some of it is camera imagery at one-meter-per-pixel ground sampling in seven spectral bands. GRAIL, in 2012, mapped the gravity field at roughly 20 kilometers per pixel — the shape of the interior rather than the surface. Japan’s SELENE (Kaguya) orbiter layered in mineralogical maps and laser altimetry. For sixty years, lunar science has lived in a stack of incompatible file formats. Combining them was a graduate student’s summer project, repeated for every paper.

The Foundation Model replaces that summer project with one download. IBM and NASA call the accompanying release SomBench, the first open-source, machine-learning-ready unified lunar dataset (Hugging Face, NASA-IBM-Lunar-Foundation-Model, 2026). SomBench aggregates more than 30 spatially aligned data layers from nine instruments across four missions — principally LRO and GRAIL plus complementary observations from SELENE — into roughly two million co-registered image tiles (CNET, 10 September 2026). The training corpus itself exceeds one million high-resolution images at one-meter resolution and close to 964,000 multispectral tiles at 100-meter resolution (NASA Science, 10 September 2026). Tiles have already been re-projected onto a common grid.

The people behind the release come from a partnership that reaches back to Apollo. IBM and NASA have worked together since the 1960s, when IBM guidance computers flew on Saturn V. Kevin Murphy, NASA’s chief science data officer, said in the joint release: “We also have to make data easier for scientists to explore and use” (NASA Science, 10 September 2026). Campbell Watson, the IBM Research senior manager who led the build, told CNET the team wanted a “shared foundation that researchers can adapt” (CNET, 10 September 2026). Juan Bernabé-Moreno of IBM Research put it as travel advice: “Experienced travelers know to get the lay of the land before setting out for a foreign destination” (IBM Research, 10 September 2026).

The machine-learning choices under the hood explain why the gains are real. The architecture is a Vision Transformer Base encoder-decoder — 768 hidden dimensions, 12 transformer layers, 12 attention heads — adapted from TerraMind, the Earth-observation foundation model IBM had previously built with ESA (Tech Times, 11 September 2026). The transformer self-attention operator at the heart of each block computes pairwise token affinities scaled by 1/sqrt(d_k), with d_k set to 64 in the 12-head configuration; the softmax of those affinities is what lets the network learn which patches of the input relate to which. TerraMind’s special sauce is its cross-modal pretraining, which forces the model to learn correlations between disparate sensor streams, so that a noisy radar channel can be reconstructed by attending to what a multispectral camera saw of the same surface. On the Moon, that trick becomes a way to fill in what the PSRs will not give an optical camera: a thermal map from the Diviner instrument over a shadowed crater can be cross-referenced with a gravity anomaly from GRAIL, and the model learns that combination as a single latent representation rather than two independent ones.

Training was masked-autoencoder pretraining on the full two-million-tile corpus, where the model is asked to reconstruct randomly masked patches and in doing so must learn the statistics of lunar terrain. To prevent the network from memorising a few well-imaged tiles, the team held out distinct geographic “wedges” of the Moon for testing (Time News, 11 September 2026). The technical report lists three downstream gains. For ice detection, the model cut root-mean-square error by up to 22 percent over a SwinV2-B transformer pretrained on ImageNet. For crater detection at 100-meter context, it outperformed the same baseline by nearly 19 percent with half the labelled training tiles; at meter scale it matches state-of-the-art head-to-head. For irregular mare patches — the subtle volcanic features whose ages are reshaping the chronology of lunar cooling — the model improved extent accuracy by about 3 percent at lower fine-tuning cost (NASA-IBM Lunar Foundation Model technical report, Hugging Face, 2026).

The physics gives those percentages meaning. Ice stability inside a PSR depends on local temperature integrated over a full precession cycle and on burial depth below the gardening reach of micrometeorite impacts. A model that has internalised those thermophysical correlations can rank candidate deposits the way a specialist would, across the whole Moon. Crater counts age a surface because the impact flux is approximately known, and a model trained on the full LRO catalogue has absorbed what an impact signature looks like at every illumination angle — critical for a sensor whose parent body has a 29.5-day day-night cycle. Even IMP detection improves because the model has learned that young volcanic features are defined by a bundle of morphological and compositional cues, not by any single texture.

What changes because of this release is the slope of the field. The model is not a substitute for a graduate-level lunar geologist; it lets researchers who previously spent six months pre-processing a single tile bundle ask questions across the whole catalogue in an afternoon. Apache 2.0 means any team — a Chinese lunar university, an Indian student, a Brazilian startup — can build on the same backbone. The Prithvi family IBM and NASA open-sourced for Earth observation will likely pick up a lunar cousin by year’s end, and the codebase sits on GitHub at NASA-IMPACT, where custom fine-tunes for new instruments (Lunar Trailblazer, India’s Chandrayaan follow-ons, China’s Chang’e 7 imaging) can be trained without revisiting the data-integration problem. If the 22 percent lead against SwinV2-B holds once independent teams retrain on their own data, the rest of the 2020s will inherit a Moon that, for the first time, is machine-readable at planetary scale.

 

September 12, 2026

The loneliest arrival of the decade

Posted by

 

BepiColombo's arrival at Mercury, showing the four-stage separation sequence from MTM separation on 3 September 2026 through science operations beginning on 6 April 2027. (ESA)

 

On 15 June 2026, at 15:24 CEST, a spacecraft 100 million kilometers from Earth received a single command through ESA’s Estrack deep-space antennas: stop firing. After almost eight years of nearly continuous thrust, the four QinetiQ T6 ion engines on the Mercury Transfer Module shut down for the last time. With that, the European/Japanese BepiColombo mission crossed an invisible line. From that moment, the spacecraft was on a ballistic trajectory, coasting with no propulsion toward the deepest gravity well in the inner Solar System. Mercury orbit insertion is scheduled for 21 November 2026 (ESA BepiColombo mission timeline, July 2026 update). What used to be a braking problem became a falling problem, and falling problems don’t have throttle knobs.

Mercury is the least explored planet in the inner Solar System, and the hardest one to reach without surrendering. It sits deep inside the Sun’s gravity well, moving at 47 km/s on average, more than three times Earth’s orbital speed. To fall into orbit around it rather than whip past it, a spacecraft must shed almost all of the kinetic energy it gained falling toward the Sun from Earth. NASA managed the trick with Mariner 10 in 1974 and MESSENGER in 2011. The Soviets never made it. The Japanese never tried. If BepiColombo succeeds, it will be only the third spacecraft in history to enter orbit around Mercury, and the first from Europe or Japan (ESA BepiColombo overview).

The mission also carries the heaviest scientific payload ever sent to Mercury, sixteen instruments distributed across two orbiters stacked on a propulsion bus. The trajectory they are flying is, by itself, an engineering demonstration: a multi-year, multi-flyby spiral through nine planetary encounters that uses gravity assists from Earth, Venus, and Mercury itself to bleed off energy without spending propellant.

BepiColombo launched from Kourou on 19 October 2018 aboard Ariane 5, lifting a 4,100-kilogram composite spacecraft into a series of looping escape orbits. The plan was, in spirit, simple: spiral inward. In practice, the MTM had to do most of the braking. Its four T6 ion thrusters, each producing only about 145 millinewtons of thrust (about the weight of a sheet of paper resting on a hand), fired almost continuously for years, accumulating more than 15 kilometers per second of total delta-v.

Then, in April 2024, the system lost a fight with itself. A short circuit in the MTM power conditioning unit reduced available thrust to roughly 90 percent of nominal. The original December 2025 arrival was no longer reachable. ESA’s flight dynamics team at ESOC in Darmstadt had to rebuild the entire interplanetary approach from the ground up, slicing flyby altitudes closer to Mercury by about 35 kilometers to recover the energy deficit through sharper gravity assists. The sixth and final Mercury flyby, on 8 January 2025, came in at just 295 kilometers above the night-side surface. Close enough that the spacecraft’s M-CAM monitoring cameras caught permanently shadowed craters at the north pole that may hold frozen water (ESA, January 2025 flyby report).

What happens between now and April 2027 is a four-stage separation sequence that ESA’s infographic captures cleanly. On 3 September 2026, still on approach, the MTM detaches and falls away, its job done and its xenon tanks empty. On 21 November 2026, a stack of two science orbiters fires a chemical-propellant braking burn and is captured into a high-altitude polar orbit. On 9–10 December 2026, ESA’s Mercury Planetary Orbiter (MPO) ejects the shielded Japanese Mio spacecraft onto its own elliptical polar trajectory. On 16 December 2026, MPO jettisons Mio’s protective sunshield (MOSIF). Over the next three months, MPO uses its own thrusters to lower itself to its working orbit of roughly 400 by 1,500 kilometers, arriving on 10 March 2027. Routine science begins on 6 April 2027 (ESA BepiColombo arrival timeline, July 2026).

The propulsion architecture is the story. The T6 ion thruster, built by QinetiQ Space in the UK, ionizes xenon and accelerates the ions through a grid biased at roughly 2,000 volts. Specific impulse runs around 4,300 seconds, about five times better than the best chemical bipropellant engine on the spacecraft. The trade is brutal: thrust is so low that BepiColombo had to spiral inward for eight years to make the maneuver work. The reward is propellant efficiency. The MTM carried only about 580 kilograms of xenon, and that modest tank delivered the equivalent delta-v of tens of metric tons of hydrazine.

Once the MTM separates, MPO has to handle the rest of the braking with its own chemical propulsion: a hydrazine-based system capable of producing about 1,000 newtons of total thrust across four 22-newton thrusters. To enter Mercury orbit, MPO must dissipate roughly 1.8 km/s of hyperbolic excess velocity in a series of maneuvers spread over weeks. Because Mercury’s gravity well is so deep, an error of even one meter per second in the insertion burn propagates into hundreds of kilometers of orbital drift by the end of the commissioning phase.

The two orbiters work at very different altitudes on purpose. Mio, the JAXA Mercury Magnetospheric Orbiter (formerly MMO), sits in a highly elliptical 400 by 12,000 kilometer orbit that swings it through the magnetosphere to sample solar wind interactions. MPO, in a tighter near-circular polar orbit, holds its instruments nadir-pointed at the surface. Eleven instruments on MPO and five on Mio together cover imaging (SIMBIO-SYS), X-ray fluorescence (MIXS), gamma-ray and neutron spectroscopy (MGNS), laser altimetry (BELA), magnetometry (MERMAG), and exospheric sampling (SERENA, PHEBUS). Temperatures range from about -180°C on the night side to +430°C on the day side, so most optical and infrared instruments sit behind thermal blankets and, where needed, gold-coated mirrors.

The water-in-shadow question is one of the cleaner open cases. Earth-based radar returns from Mercury’s polar craters are consistent with volatile ices buried under regolith. BepiColombo’s MGNS and MIXS instruments should, in principle, detect hydrogen directly through neutron moderation and detect elemental composition through characteristic X-ray emission. The permanently shadowed craters (Prokofiev, Kandinsky, Tolkien, and Gordimer at the north) were imaged by M-CAM 1 during the January 2025 flyby. Their rims just catch the sun, while their floors stay below 100 K year-round.

Three months from now, an interplanetary spacecraft that has spent almost a quarter of its life quietly thrusting through the inner Solar System is going to fall into the smallest planet’s gravity well. Whether the chemical insertion burn works depends on years of trajectory redesign, on the integrity of a 90-percent-power propulsion system that engineers coaxed across nine planetary encounters, and on a separation sequence that has to be executed cleanly four times in two months. If it works, BepiColombo will spend the next several Earth years mapping an airless, 430-degree-Celsius world whose permanently shadowed craters might, just maybe, hold enough water to matter for human exploration later this century.

If it doesn’t work, the spacecraft will whip around Mercury on a flyby trajectory, and the data already gathered by M-CAM during the six gravity assists will have to carry more of the mission’s scientific weight. As ESOC mission operators Ignacio Tanco and Nacho Clerigo have stressed in briefings, the arrival phase is not a single event but a six-month sequence of one-of-a-kind operations, each of which has to go right in the right order.

 

 

A Long March-10B rocket lifts off from Hainan on July 10, 2026, in a long-exposure photograph taken from across the bay. (Xinhua/Pu Xiaoxu)

 

On the morning of July 10, 2026, a 63-meter rocket climbed off a brand-new launch pad on Hainan Island, deposited an unnamed payload into a low orbit, and then — six minutes later — fell back out of the sky and let a steel net on a ship catch it. The vehicle was the Long March 10B, designated CZ-10B in China’s rocket catalog, and the flight was its maiden voyage. Both halves of the mission succeeded, which made China only the second country, after the United States, to propulsively recover an orbital-class booster. The second thing that mattered was that the recovery hardware was nothing like SpaceX’s drone-ship landings: no deployable legs, no tower catch, no hover-slam. The booster carried four hooks and used them to latch onto a cross-shaped steel cable net strung across the deck of a ship called Linghangzhe. Chinese state media called it the world’s first successful wire-arrestment recovery of a carrier rocket (Xinhua, July 10, 2026). For an industry that has spent the last decade copying the Falcon 9 playbook, the choice to do something different is the story.

Reusability is no longer optional in the commercial launch market. Reusing a first stage is the single largest lever on launch cost, and the cost gap between an expendable booster and a flight-proven one is roughly a factor of two on Falcon 9 (SpaceX stated figures cited in SpaceNews, 2025). The industry consensus for the last decade has been that vertical propulsive landing is the only path: relight a few engines, fall ballistically through the upper atmosphere, use grid fins to keep the stack on course, throttle down, set down on legs. China has just demonstrated a working alternative, which suggests the engineers at CALT made a deliberate trade.

The arguments are mostly about mass. Landing legs, deployment hinges, hydraulic dampers, the extra beef in the engine bay to absorb landing loads, and the reserve propellant for a hoverslam all eat into payload. Falcon 9 sets aside on the order of 6% of its first-stage propellant load for a drone-ship landing and roughly 30% for a return-to-launch-site profile (SpaceX public estimates; Flight Club reconstructions). A booster that does not have to carry legs can carry more propellant or more payload. CALT’s published commentary frames the net as a way to “shift the structural burden from the vehicle to the sea-based platform.” The ship, not the rocket, holds the arrestment load.

Geography helps. Wenchang sits on the east coast of Hainan, and the standard launch azimuths send boosters downrange over the South China Sea. A recovery vessel can sit offshore and the booster has a flat ocean to fall into, with no populated land downrange and no steep boostback burn. Linghangzhe is the first ship purpose-built for this. It is 144 meters long, 50 meters wide, displaces 25,000 tonnes at full load, has DP2 dynamic positioning, and carries the arrestment net on a steel frame taller than a six-story building (CASC, July 2026). LiDAR units at the corners of the frame feed an automated capture loop. No one on deck is steering.

Liftoff came at 12:15 p.m. Beijing time on July 10. Seven YF-100K engines, each rated at about 1,250 kilonewtons of sea-level thrust, lit together to push the 760-tonne stack off the pad (Xinhua, July 10, 2026; CALT engine specifications, 2024). The seven-engine cluster is notable: this is the LOX-kerosene YF-100 in its latest pump-back-swing variant, with the thrust chamber gimbaled while the turbopumps stay fixed. That rearrangement is what lets CALT fit seven of them into a 5-meter core. About 150 seconds into the flight, at roughly 100 kilometers of altitude, the first stage separated and the second stage’s single YF-219 methane-LOX engine took over to deliver the satellite. The first stage then began a six-minute return: unpowered coast to apogee, attitude turn using cold-gas thrusters, a reentry burn to scrub velocity, aerodynamic deceleration with titanium grid fins steering, and then a final descent burn that cut off just before the hooks met the cables.

The flight was an operational test of the recovery system and engines. The booster caught in the net has to be inspected, refurbished, and flown again. CASC said it intends to refly this exact first stage before the end of 2026. If that happens, China will have skipped the long Falcon 9 march from 2013 to 2017 that SpaceX needed to land and re-fly the same booster.

The CZ-10B is the middle child of a three-rocket family. The crew-rated CZ-10A will launch astronauts in the Mengzhou spacecraft to the Tiangong station. The heavy-lift CZ-10 — three cores bundled together, 92.5 meters tall, 21 engines — will eventually carry the Mengzhou and Lanyue lander to the Moon with roughly 27 tonnes on a trans-lunar trajectory. The 10B is the test bed: same diameter, same first-stage engines, with a methane upper stage optimized for commercial missions rather than crew.

The trick that makes the architecture work is the propulsion. Specific impulse is the engine-design figure of merit: how many seconds of thrust one kilogram of propellant produces. The YF-100K runs an oxidizer-rich staged combustion cycle at a chamber pressure near 18 megapascals, with a sea-level specific impulse around 302 seconds and a vacuum number near 338 seconds (CALT YF-100K specification sheet, 2024). For comparison, the Merlin 1D on Falcon 9 produces about 282 seconds at sea level. Higher Isp means less propellant mass buys a given delta-v, which the rocket equation makes unforgiving:

Δv = v_e * ln(m_0 / m_f)

Every kilogram of dead mass stripped off the first stage translates, through that logarithm, into more kilograms of payload at orbit.

Methane on the upper stage is the second bet. LOX-methane engines run cooler, leave less coking residue, and are easier to turn around between flights than kerolox. That matters more for an upper stage than for a booster, because the upper stage burns for several minutes and accumulates more thermal soak-back. The YF-219 has been a long-running CALT development, and the 10B flight is its first orbital demonstration.

The recovery system is the engineering story most worth lingering on. The cross-shaped net is built from high-strength steel cables with hydraulic buffers at the four corners that absorb kinetic energy. Four hooks on the booster engage the cables at low speed (the descent burn throttles the booster down to a few meters per second before capture). Once the cables take the load, hydraulic winches stabilize the booster against wind and waves, and an automated locking platform clamps it for the trip back to port. The sequence is unmanned: LiDAR tracks the booster, the position-keeping system holds the ship steady, and the capture happens in software.

The CZ-10B was a single Friday-morning launch, but the chain it pulls on is longer. The 10A will use the same first stage (minus the net hardware) to put Mengzhou crews into low orbit; the heavy CZ-10 will use it again, three at a time, to support China’s crewed lunar program before 2030. If CASC can fly, catch, inspect, and re-fly a first stage in 2026, the company buys a launch cadence for the Guowang megaconstellation and Tiangong that costs a fraction of an expendable fleet. The United States spent the better part of a decade proving booster reuse was physically possible. China has, in a single afternoon, suggested there is more than one way.

The lesson for the rest of the industry is straightforward. Reusability is the destination, not the route. The path that SpaceX blazed — vertical landing on legs — is one road. A net on a ship is another. Both work. Both have trade-offs. The only thing that no longer works is to keep throwing away 70% of a rocket.